Wen Bin, chief economist of Minsheng Bank: The "scissors gap" between M2 and M1 continues to narrow, reflecting the positive trend of the economy. "The total financial volume has grown steadily, and the liquidity is reasonable and abundant, which has maintained strong support for the real economy." Wen Bin, chief economist of China Minsheng Bank, believes that the year-on-year growth rate of narrow money (M1) balance rebounded in November compared with last month, and the "scissors gap" between M2 and M1 continued to narrow, reflecting the positive economic trend. Wen Bin introduced that the medium and long-term loans of households in China are mainly personal housing mortgage loans. With the real estate financial policy taking effect, the phenomenon of early repayment of personal loans has been significantly reduced, and personal loans will continue to stabilize and rebound. The recent improvement of commercial housing transaction data and financial data confirms each other, and the confidence of the real estate market and residents is further enhanced.The Dow Jones Industrial Average is now at 43,917.68 points, up 3.56 points.Market News: Riot Blockchain(RIOT.O) acquired 5,117 bitcoins for $510 million.
Dow opened up 0.1%, S&P 500 rose 0.3%, Nasdaq rose 0.5%, Broadcom rose 18.7%, and Q4 AI revenue increased 220% year-on-year. Furniture retailer RH rose 15.8% and raised its performance forecast. EVgo rose by 9.0% and was supported by a loan of $1.25 billion from the US Department of Energy. Xpeng Motors fell 3.8% and was downgraded to "sell" by UBS.In November, personal housing loans stabilized and rebounded. On December 13, the central bank released financial statistics for November 2024. The financial data was generally stable and maintained strong support for the real economy. It is noteworthy that the growth rate of household loans has been rising recently, mainly because personal loans have stabilized and rebounded. From the perspective of residents' departments, the short-term and medium-and long-term loans in the first 11 months increased by 1.29 trillion yuan and 453.8 billion yuan respectively, of which the medium-and long-term loans of residents increased by 66.9 billion yuan in November, increasing for two consecutive months. With the intensive introduction and effective implementation of a package of incremental policies, social expectations and market confidence are gradually picking up. Market experts generally predict that the effective financing demand in the market will be further improved, financial resources will flow more to major strategies, key areas and weak links, and financial support for the high-quality development of the real economy will be more powerful and effective. (21 Finance)The Ministry of Commerce held a special meeting of the party group to emphasize the need to vigorously boost consumption. On the 13th, Minister of Commerce Wang Wentao presided over a special meeting of the party group to convey the spirit of studying the Central Economic Work Conference and to study, deploy and implement the work. The meeting stressed that it is necessary to vigorously boost consumption. We will intensify efforts to expand the scope, implement the trade-in policy for consumer goods, innovate diversified consumption scenarios, expand service consumption, and actively develop the first-round economy. It is necessary to expand high-level opening to the outside world and stabilize foreign trade and foreign investment. We will expand independent opening and unilateral opening in an orderly manner, steadily expand institutional opening, and promote the free trade pilot zone to improve quality and efficiency and expand the reform mandate. Efforts should be made to stabilize trade in goods and actively develop service trade, green trade and digital trade. We will deepen the reform of foreign investment promotion system and mechanism, steadily push forward the opening of service industry, expand the pilot projects in the fields of telecommunications, medical care and education, and continue to build the brand of "Investing in China". Promote high-quality joint construction of the "Belt and Road", deepen and improve the overseas comprehensive service system.
The Nasdaq 100 index rose 1% and the S&P 500 index rose 0.4%.Nasdaq hit a record high in intraday trading, up 0.8%.Kaitou Macro: There is no end in sight for the industrial difficulties in the euro zone. Jack Allen-Reynolds, a macro economist at Kaitou, said in a report that the stagnation of industrial production in the euro zone in October shows that its industrial sector is still weak and will continue to struggle. In fact, he said, without Ireland's data, the G-20' s constant production data would look much worse, or it would drop by 0.5% month-on-month, while Ireland's data is notoriously unstable. Allen-Reynolds said that the output in October excluding Ireland decreased by 2.8% compared with the same period of last year, which was 18% lower than the output level of energy-intensive industries before the outbreak of the conflict between Russia and Ukraine. He said that automobile production is 17% lower than the pre-epidemic level. Although the production performance of other industries is not so bad, the latest survey shows that the overall industrial production continues to decline.
Strategy guide
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide
12-14
Strategy guide
12-14